There are three reasons why a No vote is destined to win the October referendum in Australia. They are as follows:
Aversion to constitutional change. In mostly English-speaking countries, the electorate has shown wariness to constitutional change when asked at the polls. The 1999 republic referendum in Australia was a case in point: despite strong support for a republic from the elites, the public ignored them and voted No, carrying all six states. In Ireland, the voters rejected Senad abolition in a 2013 referendum.
Bread-and-butter issues trump symbolism. Australians, like others in the Western world, are doing it tough amidst economic challenges and cost of living pressures. They’re not going to care for virtue-signalling and symbolism such as the “voice”. This also works against any renewed push for a republic in the near future. The same applies to Canada and New Zealand. The electorate just isn’t interested.
The West’s culture wars are at a turning point. Since the mayhem of 2020, Australians and other Western peoples have been subjected to being pilloried, demonised and lectured to by people about “racism” and “colonialism”. The signs are that as with Gender Ideology, postcolonialism, identity politics and Critical Race Theory are becoming unpopular. BLM has already lost popularity with many Americans.
Above all else it is because the race identity war launched by the Left elites in academia, media and NGOs is in fact a form of class war. The poor don’t have the means to fight back against the onerous impositions that Woke ideologies engender. The obscenity of it all is that it comes from those who continue to live very comfortable lifestyles in London and New York, while they pillory, demonise and lecture to people who are doing it tough.
By makin race politics a zero-sum game while demonising people struggling with economic uncertainty, they are creating a very ugly environment for everyone.
You are so right, David.
The silent majority are fed up with wedge-politics. They are finally starting to recognise the socially pernicious suite of neo-Marxist critical theories for what they are, even if they don't understand their strategic purpose or origins.
The arrogance of the left has seen them desert their core voters in deference to inner city elites, and may be about to kick one of the most decisive own goals in Australian political history, courtesy of 'The Voice', and the boot behind the ball rests firmly on Albanese's foot.
If 'The Voice' fails, it may very well seal the end of the Albanese government, assigning him and his acolytes to the annals of one term governments, and textbook failed leadership.
Albanese's self-aggrandising notion as the Messiah in human form is not only comical, but also highly destructive with our economy, social fabric, sovereignty, and political and administrative functionality all greatly imperiled by his ideology.